TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK<br>
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL<br>
200 AM EDT SAT JUN 1 2013<br>
<br>
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...<br>
<br>
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS.<br>
<br>
TODAY MARKS THE FIRST DAY OF THE ATLANTIC HURRICANE SEASON...WHICH<br>
WILL RUN UNTIL NOVEMBER 30. LONG-TERM AVERAGES FOR THE NUMBER OF<br>
NAMED STORMS...HURRICANES...AND MAJOR HURRICANES ARE 12...6...AND<br>
3...RESPECTIVELY.<br>
<br>
THE LIST OF NAMES FOR 2013 IS AS FOLLOWS:<br>
<br>
NAME           PRONUNCIATION    NAME            PRONUNCIATION<br>
-------------------------------------------------------------<br>
ANDREA         AN- DREE UH      LORENZO         LOH REN- ZOH<br>
BARRY          BAIR- REE        MELISSA         MEH LIH- SUH<br>
CHANTAL        SHAHN TAHL-      NESTOR          NES- TOR<br>
DORIAN         DOR- EE AN       OLGA            OAL- GUH<br>
ERIN           AIR- RIN         PABLO           PAHB- LO<br>
FERNAND        FAIR NAHN-       REBEKAH         REH BEH- KUH<br>
GABRIELLE      GA BREE ELL-     SEBASTIEN       SUH BASH- CHUHN<br>
HUMBERTO       OOM BAIR- TOH    TANYA           TAHN- YUH<br>
INGRID         ING- GRID        VAN             VAN<br>
JERRY          JEHR- EE         WENDY           WEN- DEE<br>
KAREN          KAIR- REN<br>
<br>
THIS PRODUCT...THE TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK...BRIEFLY DESCRIBES<br>
SIGNIFICANT AREAS OF DISTURBED WEATHER AND THEIR POTENTIAL FOR<br>
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. THE ISSUANCE<br>
TIMES OF THIS PRODUCT ARE 2 AM...8 AM...2 PM...AND 8 PM EDT. AFTER<br>
THE CHANGE TO STANDARD TIME IN NOVEMBER...THE ISSUANCE TIMES ARE <br>
1 AM...7 AM...1 PM...AND 7 PM EST.<br>
<br>
A SPECIAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK WILL BE ISSUED TO PROVIDE<br>
UPDATES...AS NECESSARY...IN BETWEEN THE REGULARLY SCHEDULED<br>
ISSUANCES OF THE TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK. SPECIAL TROPICAL WEATHER<br>
OUTLOOKS WILL BE ISSUED UNDER THE SAME WMO AND AWIPS HEADERS AS THE<br>
REGULAR TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOKS.<br>
<br>
A STANDARD PACKAGE OF PRODUCTS...CONSISTING OF THE TROPICAL CYCLONE<br>
PUBLIC ADVISORY...THE FORECAST/ADVISORY...THE CYCLONE DISCUSSION...<br>
AND THE WIND SPEED PROBABILITY PRODUCT...IS ISSUED EVERY SIX HOURS<br>
FOR ALL ONGOING TROPICAL CYCLONES. IN ADDITION...A SPECIAL ADVISORY<br>
PACKAGE MAY BE ISSUED AT ANY TIME TO ADVISE OF SIGNIFICANT<br>
UNEXPECTED CHANGES OR TO MODIFY WATCHES OR WARNINGS.<br>
<br>
THE TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATE IS A BRIEF STATEMENT TO INFORM OF<br>
SIGNIFICANT CHANGES IN A TROPICAL CYCLONE OR TO POST OR CANCEL<br>
WATCHES OR WARNINGS. THE TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATE CAN ALSO BE USED<br>
IN LIEU OF OR TO PRECEDE THE ISSUANCE OF A SPECIAL ADVISORY<br>
PACKAGE. THE TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATE IS ALSO ISSUED TO PROVIDE A<br>
CONTINUOUS FLOW OF INFORMATION REGARDING THE CENTER LOCATION OF A<br>
TROPICAL CYCLONE WHEN WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT AND THE<br>
CENTER CAN BE EASILY TRACKED WITH LAND-BASED RADAR. TROPICAL<br>
CYCLONE UPDATES...WHICH CAN BE ISSUED AT ANY TIME...CAN BE FOUND<br>
UNDER WMO HEADER WTNT61-65 KNHC...AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER<br>
MIATCUAT1-5.<br>
<br>
ALL NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER TEXT AND GRAPHICAL PRODUCTS ARE<br>
AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT WWW.HURRICANES.GOV. YOU CAN ALSO INTERACT<br>
WITH US ON FACEBOOK AT<br>
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/US.NOAA.NATIONALHURRICANECENTER.GOV. NOTIFICATIONS<br>
ARE AVAILABLE VIA TWITTER WHEN SELECT NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER<br>
PRODUCTS ARE ISSUED. INFORMATION ABOUT OUR ATLANTIC TWITTER FEED IS<br>
AVAILABLE AT WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/TWITTER.SHTML ...IN ALL LOWER CASE.<br>
<br>
AN AREA OF DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IS OCCURRING OVER<br>
THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO AND THE BAY OF CAMPECHE IN<br>
ASSOCIATION WITH A WEAK LOW PRESSURE AREA.  ANY DEVELOPMENT OF THIS<br>
SYSTEM SHOULD BE SLOW TO OCCUR DUE TO UNFAVORABLE UPPER-LEVEL WINDS<br>
AND PROXIMITY TO LAND.  THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...10<br>
PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.<br>
<br>
$$<br>